• MA-Gov (PDF): PPP’s Massachusetts miscellany includes hypothetical 2014 gubernatorial matchups between the presumptive Republican nominee, 2010 loser Charlie Baker, and three Democrats: Attorney General and 2010 Senate loser Martha Coakley, Lieutenant Governor Tim Murray, and Treasurer Steve Grossman. (Incumbent Democrat Deval Patrick has announced he will not seek a third term.)
Coakley (who was a state and national punch line for a while after her unexpected loss to Scott Brown) continues her impressive political rehabilitation, enjoying solid favorables and crushing Baker 47-34. The race is essentially tied between Baker and the other two Democrats, with loads of undecideds: Grossman edges Baker 36-34, while Baker tops Murray 37-36. None of the three is especially well-known, but while Baker and Grossman’s favorables are near even, Murray’s are underwater at 19/33. Unfortunately for Baker, nearly twice as many of the undecideds are Obama voters, suggesting that while he’s primed to run another competitive race, he has a hill to climb to get to 50% +1.
Two big potential names are excluded from this poll, of course: Scott Brown and Elizabeth Warren. Both are tremendous fundraisers with large bases of support; only one can be Senator in 2013. Of the two, Brown, a former state legislator, is far more likely to run for Governor if he loses, and that could scramble the 2014 field completely. Two more names the Great Mentioner likes mentioning are those of U.S. Rep. Michael Capuano and U.S. Attorney Carmen Ortiz, both Democrats. (Arjun Jaikumar)
Source: Daily Kos