What 2012 polling can tell us about 2013 and beyond

Posted by & filed under Liberal Dribble.

Slide from a presentation by Bill McInturff on what went wrong with their polling in 2012 Pollsters want to get it right. That’s how they make a living. And when they get it wrong—especially when they get it very wrong—they like to figure out how to make it right. Bill McInturff, who did polling for… Read more »

Do states have ‘house effects’ when it comes to polling?

Posted by & filed under Daily Kos.

President Obama greets the crowd in Las Vegas, Nevada, on Sept. 30, 2012. In late November, the sage of the Sagebrush, Nevada, journalist Jon Ralston, uncovered a fascinating post by UNLV political science professor David Damore. The subject was one that has been often discussed both here and elsewhere: Why are pollsters always getting Nevada… Read more »

Gun owners vs. the NRA: What the polling shows

Posted by & filed under Liberal Dribble.

Poli-Sci Perspective is a weekly Wonkblog feature in which Georgetown University’s Dan Hopkins and George Washington University’s Danny Hayes and John Sides offer an empirical perspective on the issues dominating Washington. In this edition, Sides examines research showing that the strongly anti-gun control views embraced by the National Rifle Association are not only at odds… Read more »